Juventus vs Lazio — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: These two keep serving up tight, low scoring games. The last five meetings finished 2-2, 0-1, 1-1, 1-0 and 1-2, and none was decided by more than one goal. Across the last 20 meetings they have averaged under 3 goals in total. Juventus are built for that kind of night right now. They let in less than a goal a game across six home games, and only 4 of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals. They have also tied 5 of those 13. Their attack is thin as well, with Yildiz, Thuram, Locatelli, Ekhator and Milik all missing, and they played in Europe three days ago. Lazio will not mind a slow game either. They have won four of five on the road and let in less than a goal a game away from home. They score more than a goal a game, so they carry a real threat. They just tend to take one of the few clear chances they get rather than create a flood of them. A 1-1 looks the most likely score, and that keeps us on the right side. The warning is Lazio's own games. They have had 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 13, so they are not always this quiet. They have also been giving up more chances at the back than their record shows. We still want the low scoring game.