Fiorentina vs Como — Tips & Analysis

Fiorentina +0.5: Fresh legs against tired ones is the heart of this one. Fiorentina have had eight days to get ready. Como played at Feyenoord in the Champions League on Wednesday and have had four. Fiorentina are also hard to beat at home. They have tied four of their last eight there and let in a goal a game in them. They have been making more chances than their results show over the last four games. Como are the better team on paper. They have won 10 of their last 17 games and score almost 2 goals a game. They travel well too, scoring 2 goals a game on the road. The problem is who leads the line. Kean is out with a muscle injury and Diao was hurt at Feyenoord. That leaves Douvikas on his own up front. Put the rest gap and the missing forwards together and a 1-1 looks the most likely result. Fiorentina coming away unbeaten is exactly what we want. The honest worry is where the hosts sit. Fiorentina are 18th with four points from six games, and they lost 1-2 at Genoa last time out. A home side in that kind of rut can simply be beaten again. Como have also won three of the last five meetings between these two. We are still happy to back Fiorentina to stay in this game.