Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg — Tips & Analysis

1. FC Magdeburg +0: Magdeburg are simply the better side in this one, and that is why we are on them. They sit 6th on 13 points from 7 games, and they have scored 5 more goals than they have let in. Dresden are 17th in the relegation places on 5 points, and they have not won in five. Dresden have created next to nothing over their last three games. They let in more than a goal a game, and they are missing Lars Buenning, Kenneth Schmidt and Thomas Keller. Magdeburg have won 10 of their last 17 games. They score more than 2 goals a game and let in just over a goal a game. They have also won by 2 or more goals in 9 of their last 17, so they know how to finish teams off. This is a derby, and both sides have had eight days to get ready. Expect Dresden to dig in for an hour. Magdeburg should find a way through once the home legs go, and a 1-2 away win looks the most likely result. That puts us on the right side. The worry is the history between these two. Four of the last nine meetings were ties, and Dresden have lost only one of those nine. Magdeburg's finishing has also been running ahead of the chances they make. We still think Magdeburg come out of this one in front.