Burgos vs Sabadell — Tips & Analysis

Burgos +0: Sabadell have been two different teams home and away, and that is why we are on the home side. They have scored just three goals in their last seven away games and have only one win on the road. In their last six at home they score more than 2 goals a game, so this is a big drop. They also travel light, missing Fornes, Gioacchini, Lopez-Pinto, Xavi Moreno and centre back Edgar. Burgos have been awkward to beat at El Plantio. They have won four and tied three of eight home games there, letting in less than a goal a game. Across their last 15 games they have not lost by 2 or more goals once. That is a solid base for a night like this. Burgos are not flying, to be fair. They have lost their last two, 0-1 at home to Granada and 1-2 at Almeria, and they score just over a goal a game. So expect a slow, cramped game that one goal decides, and Burgos are the side more likely to find it. A 1-0 home win looks the most likely result. The risk is plain. Sabadell have tied three of their seven away games and keep things tight. There is no recent history between these two to lean on. We are still with Burgos.