Bournemouth vs Sunderland — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Both teams played in Europe on Thursday, and tired legs tend to mean goals. Neither defence is certain to be at full strength, with rest and rotation in play for both teams. Bournemouth's games keep producing them too, with 10 of their last 15 having 3 or more goals. Bournemouth are the better side in this one and they score 2 goals a game at home. Their games average 3 goals in total. They have lost 3 of their last 15, and they get Justin Kluivert and Amine Adli back. Sunderland have been making plenty of chances over their last five games. They let in more than a goal a game, and they are missing centre half Dan Ballard along with Thomas Meunier and Romaine Mundle. That is a big hole at the back, and Bournemouth have the attack to find it. So we expect an open game rather than a tight one. A 2-1 home win looks the most likely result, with Sunderland getting on the board from the chances they make. That is enough for us. The warning is Sunderland's own games, which have been quiet. Only 7 of their last 17 had 3 or more goals, and they score just over a goal a game. Only two of the last six meetings between these two had 3 or more goals. We still want the busier game here.