Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim — Tips & Analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5: Hoffenheim have won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 15 games, and that is the main reason we are with Gladbach. Hoffenheim sit 17th, they have lost four of their last five, and they play on three days' rest after Thursday's 2-3 loss in Europe. Bernardo is suspended and Hajdari and Wimmer are out. They let in just over 2 goals a game on the road, so they will not control this. Gladbach are in a bad way. They are bottom of the Bundesliga with no points from 5 games, a goal difference of -11 and five straight losses. They have let in 18 goals in those five league games, and seven players are out, including Kleindienst and Itakura. The one thing in their favour is that they stay close. Gladbach have lost by 2 or more goals in only 3 of their last 12, and they have had seven days to get ready. These two always serve up an open game. The last 20 meetings averaged more than 4 goals, and the last five read 4-0, 1-5, 4-4, 2-1 and 3-4. A 2-2 looks the most likely finish, and a tie is enough for us. The worry is obvious. Gladbach have lost five in a row and cannot keep a clean sheet, so a heavy home defeat is on the table. We still think Gladbach take something from this.