Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — Tips & Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld -0.5: Bielefeld have not lost in their last six at home, and that is what this pick leans on. They are unbeaten across those six, scoring more than 2 goals a game in them. They have also lost only one of the last 11 games against Osnabruck. Bielefeld do leave the door open though. They let in just over a goal a game at home, and 10 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals. This is a side that scores and then lets the game come back at them. Osnabruck are not easy company. They have won three of their five away games and score more than 2 goals a game on the road. That is far better than they manage at their own ground. Their coach says he has a full squad for the trip. Bielefeld are without Daniel Richter and Monju Momuluh. The two teams are tied on eight points, so expect an open, mistake filled game with chances at both ends. Bielefeld's home form should just about get them there, 2-1. Be clear on the risk. Four of Bielefeld's six home games ended level, including 2-2 with Heidenheim and 2-2 with St Pauli, and Bielefeld have to win this one. They have also been scoring more than their chances deserve lately. We are with the home side, but with no room to spare.