AC Milan vs Atalanta — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Atalanta come to San Siro with their back line in pieces, and that is the best reason to back goals here. Three centre-backs are out, including Hien and Kossounou, and Elmas is suspended after a red card. Bellanova, Raspadori and Sulemana are all doubtful. Milan should get through a patched-up defence. They have not lost in Serie A, with three wins and three ties and a goal difference of +6. Both home league games ended 2-0 and 3-0, and they put four past Salzburg on Thursday. Atalanta still carry a threat of their own. De Ketelaere and Krstovic can get one back, and Atalanta have been giving up plenty of chances in their last five games. Both sides played in Europe on Thursday and have had only three days off, so legs will be heavy and mistakes should follow. The last 20 meetings averaged almost 3 goals in total. A 2-1 Milan win looks the most likely finish, and three goals lands this for us. There are brakes on it, though. Atalanta have scored one goal in two away league games this autumn. The last five meetings read 2-3, 1-1, 0-1, 1-2 and 1-1, so this pairing has often been tight. Milan have also had 3 or more goals in only 8 of their last 16 games. We still want goals in this one.