West Brom vs Blackburn — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: The Hawthorns has been a very hard place to score, and that is the case for this pick. West Brom have let in four goals in seven home games there. They do not give much back either, scoring just over a goal a game at home and tying three of those seven. Eight of their last 16 games had fewer than 3 goals. Blackburn travel well. They have one loss in seven away games and let in just over a goal a game on the road. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 2 of their last 15, and they have not lost by 2 or more once in that run. The history between these two says the same thing. The last four meetings finished 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 and 0-0, and the last 18 meetings averaged more than 2 goals. Blackburn also arrive with five players out, including Forshaw, Litherland, Miller and Ohashi. A 1-0 home win is the most likely score, and that lands this pick with room to spare. The honest warning is Blackburn's wider record. Eleven of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals, so they are not always this quiet. One early goal would change how both teams play. We still want the low scoring game, because West Brom make very little and this ground keeps producing quiet ones.