Venezia vs Napoli — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Venezia's games have been full of goals. Their six Serie A games have produced 21 goals between them. Venezia are bottom with no points, and they have lost their last five. They score more than a goal a game and let in more than that. Eight of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals, and they have been making chances even in the heavy defeats. Napoli arrive in a mess of their own. They lost 1-3 at Villarreal on Tuesday, and several changes are expected here. Neres and Buongiorno are out, and Anguissa is doubtful. Napoli still score more than a goal a game, and 7 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals. Davide Nicola takes over Venezia for this game. His team need points badly and cannot sit back for 90 minutes. That points to a 1-2 Napoli win, and three goals gets us home. The warning is the history between these two. Venezia did not score in any of their last four games against Napoli, which finished 0-0, 0-1, 0-2 and 0-2. Those four games averaged just over a goal each. A new manager's first game can also bring a tighter, more careful shape. We still want the goals, because this Venezia side leaks them and Napoli carry too much quality to stay quiet.