Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Tips & Analysis

Borussia Dortmund -0.75: Dortmund have planned for this game. They left Schlotterbeck and Guirassy out of the trip to Bodø/Glimt so both would be fresh here, and both are expected to start. Union are in no shape to meet a team arriving like that. They sit 16th with a -12 goal difference and were beaten 0-7 at Bayern and 0-4 at Leverkusen inside their last five games. Union's home form is the one thing in their favour. At their own ground they have won two, tied two and lost one, letting in more than a goal a game. On the road they have let in more than 3 goals a game, so this is the tighter version of them. Dortmund travel well. They have won five of their last eight away games and let in a goal a game on those trips. They have not lost by 2 or more in their last 15. The history is one sided too. Dortmund have won 11 of the last 16 meetings, with 0-3, 0-3 and 0-6 among the recent scores. A 1-2 Dortmund win is the most likely score, so we want them to push on and add a third. The risk is rotation. Dortmund played in Norway three days ago, Can, Konstantelias and Lerma are out, and the lineup is hard to call. Union's own ground is where nearly all their points have come from. We still back Dortmund to be too good here.