Millwall vs Lincoln — Tips & Analysis

Lincoln +1: Millwall should have the better of this game, but they are badly short of bodies. Seven of their players are ruled out, among them Coburn, Ivanovic, Luongo and Jensen. Millwall have won two of their seven games at The Den. They score more than a goal a game at home and let in about the same. They have also won by 2 or more goals in only 3 of their last 14. Lincoln are a much better team on the road than at home. They have won 6 of their 9 away games and let in just over a goal a game on the road. Lincoln are short too. Hamer and McGrandles are both suspended after red cards, and Darikwa and Melia are injured. Both teams will field patched up sides, and neither has been scoring much. Lincoln have managed about a goal a game lately. That points to a cagey game decided by a set piece or a mistake. A 1-0 Millwall win is the most likely score, so this pick needs Lincoln to keep it close, and ideally to take something from the game. The real danger is a collapse. Lincoln lost 0-6 and 0-3 in their last two league games, and they have lost by 2 or more in 4 of their last 14. We still back Lincoln to stay within range of a weakened Millwall.