Manchester City vs Ipswich — Tips & Analysis

Ipswich +2: Manchester City win plenty of games, but they rarely win them big. They have won by three or more goals in only five of their last 17 games, and five of their wins came by a single goal. City are still the far better team. They have won 12 of their last 17, they score more than 2 goals a game and they let in just over a goal. At the Etihad they have won seven of nine. The schedule helps us though. City lost 2-4 at home to PSG on 14 October, have three days' rest to Ipswich's seven, and play again in Europe on 20 October. Their manager has already flagged rotation, with resting Haaland under discussion. Ipswich do not fold either. They have been beaten by more than two goals only once in their last 14 games. They have scored at Manchester United and Crystal Palace, and they beat Fulham this season. On the road they score more than a goal a game and let in almost 2. A 2-1 home win is the most likely score, with City in control without being ruthless, and that sits comfortably inside what we need. The worry is the history, because City won the only two meetings between them 6-0 and 4-1. Two games is not much to go on, and City come in tired this time. We still want Ipswich to keep this close.