Las Palmas vs Castellón — Tips & Analysis

Castellón -0.25: Castellón travel better than almost anyone in this league. They have won five of their seven away games, and none of those trips ended in a tie. They let in under a goal a game and score more than one, which is a strong mix for a side sitting third. Las Palmas are the opposite at the Gran Canaria. They have won one of their last six home games and score a goal a game there. They also have eight players out, including Sergio Ruiz, Sandro Ramírez and Marvin Park, and a new manager taking charge for the first time. That is a lot of change to work through in one week. Castellón have not lost by 2 or more in any of their last 14 games, so they are hard to pick off. Their own games stay quiet too, with only 5 of those 14 reaching 3 goals or more. A 0-1 Castellón win is the most likely score here, and that is enough for our pick to land. The caution is that Castellón have wobbled, taking one point from their last two after a 0-1 loss at FC Andorra and a 1-1 tie with Ceuta. A new manager can also lift a struggling home side for one night. We still side with the better road team.