Le Mans vs Toulouse — Tips & Analysis

Le Mans +0.25: Toulouse do not win big, and that is the base of this pick. They have not won by 2 or more goals in any of their last 16 games. Le Mans have not lost at home in six, winning three and tying three, and they score 2 goals a game there. The MMArena has been a hard place to visit. Toulouse have let in a goal in all six of their league games and let in more than 2 goals a game on their away trips. 12 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals, so quiet afternoons are not their style. Both teams come in with six days of rest. Le Mans are missing Bourabaa, Colas and Rossignol, so the hosts are not at full strength. A 2-2 is the most likely finish, and Le Mans avoiding defeat is what this pick is built on. The caution is the history between them. Toulouse have not lost to Le Mans in six meetings and have won the last four. Casper Tengstedt is in form too, with four goals in four league games, so the away side has the player most likely to decide it. We still want Le Mans with a head start, because Toulouse keep tying games they should be winning.