Frosinone vs Sassuolo — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Sassuolo have scored and let in a goal in all six of their league games this season. That is the cleanest reason to back goals here, and 9 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals. Frosinone have been strong at home, winning six of their last eight and scoring more than 2 goals a game in them. Their defending is the soft spot. They have let in under a goal a game, but they give up far more chances than that, and records like it do not last. Sassuolo are missing four regulars from the middle of their side, which makes stopping a busy home attack harder again. On merit there is nothing between these teams. Frosinone are 9th on 10 points from six games and Sassuolo are 11th on 8. The most likely single score is a 2-1 home win, so this pick leans on the game being busier than that. That is a fair ask in a game where the home defence is living on luck and the away side scores in everything. The risk is Sassuolo on their travels. They have not won any of their last six away games and score under a goal a game on the road. Their meeting in September finished 1-1, so these two can keep it tight when it suits them. We still lean to the busier game.