Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.5: Goals follow Frankfurt everywhere right now, and that is the heart of this pick. Their last five home games produced 20 goals, about 4 goals a game at Deutsche Bank Park. They have not won any of those five. Frankfurt sit 14th on 5 points and have let in 16 goals in five league games. Their defending is as bad as that record looks, and nobody expects it to tighten up overnight. Koln are not built to shut a game down either. 13 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals. They have won only one of their last eight away trips but tied four of them. They also let in more than 2 goals a game on the road. These two clubs have a long habit of trading goals, with the last 20 meetings averaging just over 3 goals. 10 of Frankfurt's last 11 games had 3 or more goals, so this is not a one off. A 2-2 is the most likely finish, and that is enough to get this home. The honest worry is Koln's attack. Ragnar Ache and Thijs Dallinga are both out, so the away side is short of finishers and may only manage one. Frankfurt leak enough goals to carry this on their own, and we want the busy game here.