Skip to content
Eightodds Logo

Burnley vs Wolves — Tips & Analysis

Championship
Burnley
Burnley
WDLDL
22nd in CHA
1-2
Sat 17 Oct, 02:00 ICT
Wolves
Wolves
LWLWD
5th in CHA
📍 Turf Moor
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under🟠 ½ Lost
Under 2.75@1.77
Confidence58%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Under 2.75: These two produce tight, low scoring games, and both squads are too beaten up to change that. The last 18 meetings averaged just over 2 goals, and the last five finished 1-1, 3-2, 0-2, 1-1 and 0-1. Burnley have tied six of their last seven home games. They score just over a goal a game and have 17 players ruled out, most of the forward line among them. Wolves are the better side on paper, 10th on 14 points to Burnley's 21st on 8. Both of their senior strikers are out though. Raul Jimenez is gone until January and Adam Armstrong is injured as well, so the away finishing is in the same state as the home side's. Both teams also played three days before this one, Burnley tying 2-2 with Charlton and Wolves losing 1-3 at home to Bolton. Tired legs and missing forwards point the same way. A 1-1 is the most likely finish, and that is a comfortable result for this pick. Burnley did put four past Watford on 10 October, so the thin attack can still have a day. Wolves create more than their results show as well. We still expect a quiet game between two sides who cannot finish.
Recent Form
Burnley1W 4D 3L
W4-0vs Watford (A)10 Oct 26Championship
D1-1vs Derby (H)19 Sept 26Championship
L1-3vs Swansea (A)12 Sept 26Championship
D1-1vs Wrexham (A)8 Sept 26Championship
L1-2vs Bristol City (H)5 Sept 26Championship
D1-1vs Middlesbrough (H)2 Sept 26Championship
L1-4vs Norwich (A)29 Aug 26Championship
D0-0vs Bradford (A)26 Aug 26League Cup
Wolves4W 1D 3L
L0-1vs Middlesbrough (A)10 Oct 26Championship
W1-0vs West Brom (H)20 Sept 26Championship
L0-1vs Everton (A)16 Sept 26League Cup
W1-0vs Sheffield Utd (A)13 Sept 26Championship
D2-2vs Birmingham (A)6 Sept 26Championship
L2-4vs West Ham (A)1 Sept 26Championship
W4-1vs Stoke City (H)29 Aug 26Championship
W2-0vs Sheffield Wednesday (A)25 Aug 26League Cup
Form Stats
BurnleyBurnley
WolvesWolves
1.25
Avg scored
1.50
1.50
Avg conceded
1.13
50%
Over 2.5
38%
75%
Both score
38%
25%
Clean sheet
38%
13%
Failed to score
25%
Head-to-Head
Burnley
1 - 1
Wolves
24 May 2026 · Premier League
Wolves
2 - 3
Burnley
26 Oct 2025 · Premier League
Wolves
2 - 0
Burnley
28 Aug 2024 · League Cup
Burnley
1 - 1
Wolves
2 Apr 2024 · Premier League
Wolves
1 - 0
Burnley
5 Dec 2023 · Premier League
Goal Timing — When Goals Happen
Burnley — scores
8%0-15'
33%16-30'
8%31-45'
25%46-60'
0%61-75'
25%76-90'
Burnley — concedes
28%0-15'
17%16-30'
6%31-45'
11%46-60'
22%61-75'
17%76-90'
Wolves — scores
13%0-15'
20%16-30'
20%31-45'
13%46-60'
7%61-75'
27%76-90'
Wolves — concedes
9%0-15'
18%16-30'
18%31-45'
27%46-60'
18%61-75'
9%76-90'
Team News
Burnley10 out
E. AgyeiMuscle Injury
A. AhmedhodzicKnock
A. BarnesMuscle Injury
J. BeyerHamstring Injury
B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
H. MejbriHamstring Injury
A. RamseyHamstring Injury
Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
J. BanelMuscle Injury
J. CullenKnee Injury
Wolves7 out
A. ArmstrongBack Injury
R. JimenezKnee Injury
Y. MosqueraAnkle Injury
B. TraoreInjury
B. TraoreInjury
R. GomesFoot Injury
M. JiInjury
Championship Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1Swansea621+820WWWLD
2Middlesbrough531+518WDDWW
3West Ham441+1116DDWWW
4Stoke City513+216WWWDW
5Wolves422+414LWWDL
6QPR351+314DDDDL
7Birmingham351+214WDWLD
8Millwall423+114WDDLW
9West Brom423+114LLDWW
10Bristol City423-114DWLLW
11Charlton342-313DLDDL
12Blackburn333+112WDWLL
13Sheffield Utd333+112WLLWL
14Wrexham252-311DWLDD
15Lincoln324-411LLWWD
16Southampton422+910LWWDD
17Bolton315-510LWWLL
18Norwich306-29LLLWW
19Portsmouth223-18DDWLL
20Watford225-78LLLWL
21Cardiff144-37LWLDL
22Burnley144-47WDLDL
23Derby135-76DDLLL
24Preston117-84LDLLW
Team Sheet
Wolves4-2-3-1 · 👔 César Peixoto
1Sá
33Konan
24Gomes
34Djiga
38Tchatchoua
7André
5Munetsi
19Saïd
28López
27Bellegarde
14Neave
37Coudert
23Pires
44Igor
18Ekdal
2Walker
5Hatate
3Alleyne
7Larsen
29Laurent
19Ramazani
9Vardy
Burnley4-2-3-1 · 👔 N. Hayen
Match Events
Jamie Vardyassist Jacob Bruun Larsen⚽
20'
⚽Fer Lópezassist Sean Neave
39'
⚽Tawanda Chirewaassist Mateus Mane
72'
How the Match Went
BurnleyBurnley
WolvesWolves
47%
Possession
53%
15
Shots
20
4
Shots on target
8
3
Corners
6
13
Fouls
9
2
Yellow cards
1
7
Offsides
0