Torreense vs Sunderland — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.25: Neither side scores enough to make this a busy night. Sunderland are the bigger name, but only 7 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals in them, and 12 of 17 finished under 4 goals. They score just over a goal a game. Their squad is thin for this trip as well. Brobbey, Ballard, Diarra and Mundle are injured, Meunier is a doubt, and Talbi, Ta Bi, Ellborg, Browne and Alese were all left out of the Europa League squad. Torreense are low scoring but hard to break down. They score just over a goal a game, let in more than a goal a game, and have tied 5 of their last 16. They also showed they can compete by winning 2-1 away at Lillestrom in the first round of games. This one is played in Leiria, not at Torreense's own ground, so neither team gets a crowd behind them. That usually means a cautious game with both sides happy to keep it level for long spells. A 1-1 looks the most likely finish, and that is well inside what this bet needs. The risk is the gap in individual quality. Sunderland still have Premier League players, and if two or three of them click early the game can open up. Even so, Sunderland have won by 2 or more goals just once in their last 17 games, so the quiet game is the one we want.