Lyon vs Crystal Palace — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Lyon at their own ground are the reason to back goals. They score more than 2 goals a game across seven home games, and they also let in more than a goal a game there. Palace arrive in poor shape up front. They have scored less than a goal a game in their six away games, winning only one of them. Mateta is out with a hamstring injury, and Riad, Tomiyasu, Chilwell and Henderson are all unavailable for the trip. Palace have had four days since their last game to Lyon's six, so tired legs are a worry for them late on. Even with all that, both teams keep playing in open games. 11 of Palace's last 15 had 3 or more goals in them, and 10 of Lyon's last 14 did too. Palace have also been giving up chances at a heavy rate over their last three games. A 2-1 Lyon win is the likeliest finish, with Lyon leading and then living through a nervous end. We want this game to get at least that busy, and the way Palace defend, there is room for a fourth. The risk sits with Lyon's own missing man. Openda has a fractured fibula and is out for at least a month, so if his stand in cannot finish, this turns into a 1-0 or 1-1. The one previous meeting between these clubs was a tight Palace win with 2 goals in it. We still want the busier game here.