Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Goals keep showing up in these teams' games, and that is the pull here. Leverkusen let in 2 goals a game across their six away games, a run that includes a 2-3 loss at Elversberg and a 4-3 win at Mainz. They also bring their first choice front three, with Schick, Terrier and Diaby all set to start. Lech have been strong at their own ground, with 7 wins, 1 tie and 1 loss in nine games there, scoring more than 2 goals a game. 14 of Lech's last 17 games had 3 or more goals in them, and 8 of Leverkusen's last 12 did too. Lech should start fast and get on the scoresheet, but they are missing five players and Murawski is suspended after a red card. Their only game against a side from one of Europe's biggest leagues ended 0-4 at Crystal Palace. A 1-2 Leverkusen win is the likeliest finish, which is a close call for this bet rather than a comfortable one. We want this game to stay busy to the end, and a fourth goal is well within reach the way Leverkusen defend on the road. The honest warning is Lech's scoring record. It is lifted by 7-0 and 5-0 wins over weak teams in qualifying, so they may not create much against a Bundesliga defense. We still want the busier game.