Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen — Tips & Analysis

Ferencvarosi TC -0.25: Ferencváros have lost once in their last eighteen games. That is the starting point here, and Plzeň are not the side to end that run. Ferencváros have also been unbeaten in their last seven at the Groupama Aréna, where they let in under a goal a game. Their European nights at home have been even better, with Trabzonspor beaten 4-0 there in qualifying. Plzeň are struggling. They have won two of their last six and lost three, including 1-2 at Slavia Praha and 2-3 to Sigma Olomouc. They were also beaten 0-3 at home by Union Saint-Gilloise in their first league phase game. Away from home they have lost three of their last six and let in more than 2 goals a game. They have lost by 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 15. Plzeň do carry a threat going forward. They score 2 goals a game and 12 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals, so a quiet night is unlikely. A 2-1 home win looks the most likely result, and that is enough for this pick. The honest worry is how often Ferencváros let visitors hang around at home. They have tied three of their last five, including 1-1 with Debreceni VSC, and Plzeň have won two of the last five meetings. We still back Ferencváros to get it done.