Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Goals look hard to come by in this one. Celje have scored twice in their last five games, a run that includes a 0-0 away at Mura and a 0-1 home loss to Koper. They score just over a goal a game, and at their own ground they let in less than a goal a game. Only 7 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals. Omonia are the better side, and they are built to keep things quiet. They let in less than a goal a game both at home and on the road, and they started this competition by beating Celta Vigo 1-0. They have won 9, tied 4 and lost 3 of their last 16 games, with four wins and a tie in their last five. Only 6 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals. Omonia are also without Carel Eiting, Fotis Kitsos and Moses Odubajo, so their attack has less help. They should be happy to control this one and win it with a single moment. A 0-1 away win is the most likely score, which is exactly the night we are backing. The way this goes wrong is an early Celje goal. The home side are 3 wins, 3 ties and 2 losses at their own ground, so they can stay in this. A goal would force Omonia out of their careful shape. We still expect a quiet night in Celje.