AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Hapoel turn up in open games more often than not, with 3 or more goals in 9 of their last 16. AZ score more than 2 goals a game and let in more than a goal a game. Their games average just over 3 goals between the two sides, even if only 6 of their last 13 got there. AZ are unbeaten at their own ground, but they have tied three of six there and let in more than a goal a game. They have been making plenty of chances without taking them, so the goals should start coming back. Kees Smit, Stije Resink and Jizz Hornkamp are all missing, which thins out their attacking options. Hapoel go for games on the road, where they are 4 wins and 3 losses and let in more than a goal a game. Their away games tend to be open ones. A 2-1 to AZ is the most likely score, and that leaves this one goal short, so we need one of these back lines to leak once more. The caution here is real. Hapoel arrive on four clean sheets in a row, including a 0-0 with Dinamo Zagreb, and AZ have scored just two goals in their last four games. AZ also swing between busy games and quiet ones rather than being high scoring every week. We still lean to the goals, because AZ make too many chances to stay this blunt.