Famalicao vs Alverca — Tips & Analysis

Alverca +0.75: Famalicao do not win games by big margins. They have won by 2 or more goals just once in their last 14 games, and they have tied eight of those 14. That is the main reason we are on Alverca staying close. Famalicao score just over a goal a game and let in almost a goal a game, so their matches are tight by habit. At their own ground they have won once and tied four times in seven. Alverca are the worry. They have won once and lost five of their six away games. They barely score on the road and let in more than a goal a game away from home. They also travel without five injured players, including Bastien Meupiyou and Nabil Touaizi. Famalicao are missing Tommie van de Looi, and Romeo Beney is suspended. The last three meetings averaged under 2 goals, and Famalicao won the most recent one 1-0 here in May. A 1-0 home win is the most likely score again, and that is not the result we want. Alverca have to keep this within a goal. Anything worse than a one goal defeat and this is gone. Both sides have also had 23 days off, so rhythm and team news are a guess. We still think this stays tight enough for Alverca.