VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Bochum play the quietest games in this division. Their last 13 games have averaged just over 2 goals a game. Only one of those had 4 or more goals, and seven of them finished with 2 goals or fewer. Bochum score just over a goal a game and let in just over one. Bielefeld are a different team away from home. They have won once in seven on the road, and their attack has gone flat. They have tied 3 of their last 5 games and 5 of their last 14. The history between these two says the same thing. The last 17 meetings have averaged under 3 goals a game, and only six of them had 3 or more goals. The last two finished 1-1 and 1-0. Put that together and one goal looks like it will be enough. A 1-0 Bochum win is the honest read, and a game like that stays well clear of trouble for us. The danger is Bielefeld's own games. 11 of their last 14 have had 3 or more goals, and Bochum are missing a chunk of their squad, including Strompf, Olsen and Mbom. If Bielefeld's front line clicks early, this could get away from the quiet script. Even so, their away form and the history here both point to few goals, and that is the side we want.