SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Freiburg games are rarely quiet, and that is the simplest reason this is on. 14 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals, and their games bring almost 4 goals in total on average. Freiburg sit third and they are flying at the Europa Park Stadion. They have won six of their eight home games, scoring almost 3 goals a game there and letting in just over one. They have also won by 2 or more goals in 7 of their last 16, so they do not just sneak past teams. Schalke have been stubborn this season, but their away games have been busier. Their two top division trips brought a 3-1 win at Union Berlin and a 0-3 defeat at Augsburg. They let in 2 goals a game in their away games. They are short of bodies too, with Hojlund, Ljubicic and Siebeking all out and Lasme doubtful. Most of Schalke's better numbers come from second division and cup games, so their real level here is unclear. Put a strong home attack against a side that leaks on the road and a 3-1 Freiburg win looks right. That is four goals, comfortably enough. The caution is Schalke's stubborn streak. They let in just over a goal a game overall and they held Bayern to 0-0, so they can make this a slog. If they sit deep and Freiburg waste chances, the goals may not arrive. We still want goals here, because Freiburg games keep delivering them.