Sassuolo vs AC Milan — Tips & Analysis

Sassuolo +0.75: Milan do not win games by big margins. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 2 of their last 16. Sassuolo have not lost by 2 or more in any of their last 14. Put those two habits together and a one sided scoreline here looks unlikely. Sassuolo are a different team at the Mapei. They have won 5, tied 1 and lost 1 of their seven home games, scoring just over 2 goals a game. That run includes a 3-2 win over Juventus and a 2-1 over Torino, so good sides have come here and lost. Milan are short of goals on the road. They manage a goal a game across their eight away trips and just over a goal a game overall. This is a team that grinds out a 1-1 at Juventus and a 2-2 at Lazio rather than putting anyone away. The history says the same. Sassuolo have 5 wins and 5 ties from the last 20 meetings. A 1-1 is the most likely score here, and that sort of tight game is exactly what we want. The worry is the Sassuolo team sheet. Idzes is out injured and more are missing in defence and midfield, which is where Milan will push. Milan also sit 5th with 11 points from 5 league games and a goal difference of plus 6. We still back Sassuolo to stay close.