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Nice vs Strasbourg — Tips & Analysis

Ligue 1
Nice
Nice
WLDLD
15th in LIG
2-1
Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 ICT
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
LDWWL
9th in LIG
📍 Allianz Riviera
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under↩️ Push
Under 3@1.71
Confidence56%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Under 3: Nice games are not fun to watch, and that is exactly what we want. Their games bring almost 2 goals in total on average, and only 5 of their last 15 had 3 or more goals. Nice have not lost at the Allianz Riviera in seven, with two wins and five ties, and they let in less than a goal a game there. They score less than a goal a game themselves, so they smother games rather than win them. Strasbourg are the opposite. They score more than a goal a game and 9 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals. That record leans heavily on a 6-2 and a 0-4 inside their last six games, so it is wild rather than normal. They are also without striker Panichelli. The last 18 meetings between these two average just over 2 goals, and the slower side usually sets the tempo. Nice are missing four players too, so they will not suddenly open up. A 1-1 is the honest read, and two goals sits comfortably inside this pick. The risk is real though. Strasbourg let in almost 2 goals a game on the road, and Nice have been a bit lucky at the back. If this turns into an open game, the goals will come. The low scoring read is still the one we trust.
Recent Form
Nice1W 4D 3L
W2-1vs Lille (H)20 Sept 26Ligue 1
L0-1vs Auxerre (A)12 Sept 26Ligue 1
D1-1vs Le Mans (H)5 Sept 26Ligue 1
L0-3vs Paris FC (A)30 Aug 26Ligue 1
D0-0vs Lorient (H)22 Aug 26Ligue 1
D0-0vs Hull City (A)15 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
D0-0vs Cagliari (A)8 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
L0-2vs Juventus (A)31 Jul 26Friendlies Clubs
Strasbourg2W 2D 4L
L1-2vs Paris FC (A)19 Sept 26Ligue 1
D1-1vs Monaco (H)12 Sept 26Ligue 1
W6-2vs Estac Troyes (A)6 Sept 26Ligue 1
W2-1vs Lens (H)29 Aug 26Ligue 1
L0-4vs Marseille (A)21 Aug 26Ligue 1
D1-1vs Newcastle (A)16 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
L0-2vs SC Freiburg (A)8 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
L2-5vs SV Elversberg (H)4 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
Form Stats
NiceNice
StrasbourgStrasbourg
0.38
Avg scored
1.63
1.00
Avg conceded
2.25
25%
Over 2.5
63%
25%
Both score
75%
38%
Clean sheet
0%
75%
Failed to score
25%
Head-to-Head
Strasbourg
0 - 2
Nice
22 Apr 2026 · Coupe de France
Strasbourg
3 - 1
Nice
4 Apr 2026 · Ligue 1
Nice
1 - 1
Strasbourg
3 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2 - 2
Nice
12 Apr 2025 · Ligue 1
Nice
2 - 1
Strasbourg
24 Nov 2024 · Ligue 1
Goal Timing — When Goals Happen
Nice — scores
0%0-15'
0%16-30'
50%31-45'
0%46-60'
50%61-75'
0%76-90'
Nice — concedes
14%0-15'
29%16-30'
0%31-45'
14%46-60'
14%61-75'
29%76-90'
Strasbourg — scores
0%0-15'
0%16-30'
25%31-45'
25%46-60'
0%61-75'
50%76-90'
Strasbourg — concedes
8%0-15'
8%16-30'
8%31-45'
25%46-60'
17%61-75'
33%76-90'
Team News
Nice4 out
L. AbergelKnee Injury
M. BombitoLeg Injury
A. MendyKnee Injury
M. SansonKnee Injury
Strasbourg2 out
M. GodoMuscle Injury
J. PanichelliKnee Injury
Ligue 1 Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1Monaco410+513WDWWW
2Lyon321+711LWDWD
3Paris FC320+511WDWWD
4Lille311+410LWWDW
5Rennes311-110LWWWD
6Paris Saint Germain221+18WWLDD
7Lens213+17WLDLL
8Angers212+17WDLWL
9Strasbourg21207LDWWL
10Le Mans13106WDDLD
11Auxerre203-56WWLLL
12Stade Brestois 29122-15LLWDD
13Lorient122-15LDWLD
14Toulouse122-25WDLDL
15Nice122-35WLDLD
16Estac Troyes113-74LLLWD
17Marseille104-13LLLLW
18Le Havre023-32LDLDL
Team Sheet
Strasbourg4-3-3 · 👔 Hugo Oliveira
1Jörgensen
36Oso
31Coulibaly
4Mitchell
16Antwi
14Essugo
21Diop
23Sousa
7Amo-Ameyaw
40Harder
80Yassine
23Diouf
35Tsiendi
55Ndayishimiye
5Abdelmonem
27Nkounkou
28Witsel
39Coulibaly
92Clauss
9Amoura
7Hein
11Wahi
Nice3-4-2-1 · 👔 O. Pantaloni
Match Events
⚽Dario Essugoassist Conrad Harder
41'
Pape Demba Diopown goal🥅
45+2'
Jonathan Claussassist Sofiane Diop⚽
81'
How the Match Went
NiceNice
StrasbourgStrasbourg
45%
Possession
55%
11
Shots
11
6
Shots on target
3
2
Corners
3
3
Fouls
8
1
Yellow cards
1
5
Offsides
2