Mallorca vs Las Palmas — Tips & Analysis

Mallorca -0.75: Son Moix has been close to a fortress. Across their last eight home games Mallorca have lost only one and let in just 3 goals in total. Las Palmas are the kind of open away side that gets picked off in a place like that. Mallorca score almost 2 goals a game at home, and the shape of those wins matters. They have come by 2-0, 2-0 and 3-0. This is a side that turns a lead into a second goal rather than hanging on to a single one. Las Palmas have the opposite habit away from home. They let in 2 goals a game across their eight road trips, including a 2-5 at Girona and a 2-3 at Eibar. They also arrive as the most injury hit squad in the division, with six men out or suspended. Puertas and Obeng are both gone for the long haul and Marvin Park is suspended. Mallorca have won 4 and tied 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two. A 2-0 home win looks the most likely score, and that is a clean result for us. Mallorca are not at full strength either. Salas and Roca are out and Mascarell is suspended. They have also only won by 2 or more in 5 of their last 16 games, so the margin is the honest question. We still think the home side have too much here.