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Lecce vs Bologna — Tips & Analysis

Serie A
Lecce
Lecce
LWLLW
12th in SER
1-2
Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 ICT
Bologna
Bologna
DLDLL
18th in SER
📍 Stadio Via del Mare
⭐ Our Pick
Over/Under❌ Lost
Under 2.5@1.73
Confidence58%
18+ · T&Cs apply
Why we like this pick
Under 2.5: Neither of these sides can score. Lecce manage less than a goal a game, and Bologna have scored three goals in five league games. That is the whole case for a quiet night in Lecce. Lecce have won five, tied two and lost eight of their last 15 games, and their games bring just over 2 goals in total on average. Only 6 of those last 15 had 3 or more goals, so low totals are normal for them. Bologna are even quieter. They score less than a goal a game, their last five results read tie, loss, tie, loss, loss, and three of their defeats have finished 0-1. Both attacks are short of bodies as well. Holm and Odgaard are out for Bologna with Dovbyk and Mbangula doubtful, and Lecce are without Berisha and Stulic. Add three weeks off for both sides and a careful start looks far more likely than an open one. A 0-1 Bologna win is the honest read, and one goal clears this with room to spare. The risk sits with Lecce at their own ground. They have produced a 3-2 there in this run, so they can turn a tight game into a mess. Bologna also let in more than a goal a game. We still want the quiet game here.
Recent Form
Lecce4W 0D 4L
L0-3vs AC Milan (A)20 Sept 26Serie A
W3-2vs Monza (H)13 Sept 26Serie A
L0-1vs Cagliari (A)7 Sept 26Serie A
L0-4vs AS Roma (H)31 Aug 26Serie A
W2-0vs Venezia (A)23 Aug 26Serie A
L0-2vs Palermo (A)17 Aug 26Coppa Italia
W1-0vs SS Monopoli (H)9 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
W5-2vs Bistrica (H)29 Jul 26Friendlies Clubs
Bologna1W 2D 5L
D1-1vs Torino (H)19 Sept 26Serie A
L0-1vs Napoli (A)13 Sept 26Serie A
D2-2vs Sassuolo (H)6 Sept 26Serie A
L0-1vs Atalanta (A)31 Aug 26Serie A
L0-1vs Lazio (H)24 Aug 26Serie A
L0-1vs Brighton (A)15 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
L1-4vs Pisa (H)8 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
W3-1vs Cambuur (H)1 Aug 26Friendlies Clubs
Form Stats
LecceLecce
BolognaBologna
1.38
Avg scored
0.88
1.75
Avg conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Both score
50%
25%
Clean sheet
0%
50%
Failed to score
50%
Head-to-Head
Bologna
2 - 0
Lecce
12 Apr 2026 · Serie A
Lecce
2 - 2
Bologna
28 Sept 2025 · Serie A
Lecce
0 - 0
Bologna
9 Feb 2025 · Serie A
Bologna
1 - 0
Lecce
2 Nov 2024 · Serie A
Bologna
4 - 0
Lecce
11 Feb 2024 · Serie A
Goal Timing — When Goals Happen
Lecce — scores
40%0-15'
20%16-30'
0%31-45'
20%46-60'
0%61-75'
20%76-90'
Lecce — concedes
20%0-15'
40%16-30'
0%31-45'
0%46-60'
30%61-75'
10%76-90'
Bologna — scores
33%0-15'
0%16-30'
0%31-45'
33%46-60'
0%61-75'
0%76-90'
Bologna — concedes
0%0-15'
17%16-30'
0%31-45'
33%46-60'
17%61-75'
33%76-90'
Team News
Lecce2 out
M. BerishaLacking Match Fitness
N. StulicMuscle Injury
Bologna3 out
E. HolmThigh Injury
S. MbangulaInjury
J. OdgaardThigh Injury
Serie A Standings
#TeamWDLGDPTSForm
1AS Roma410+1113DWWWW
2Inter410+713DWWWW
3Lazio410+513WDWWW
4Cagliari401+312WWWLW
5AC Milan320+611WDDWW
6Frosinone311+510WDWWL
7Juventus311+410WLDWW
8Como311+310LWWWD
9Napoli212+17DWLLW
10Sassuolo21207LWDWL
11Atalanta203-26LLLWW
12Lecce203-56LWLLW
13Udinese113-34LLLWD
14Torino113-34DLWLL
15Parma113-34WLDLL
16Monza113-44WLDLL
17Fiorentina113-64DWLLL
18Bologna023-32DLDLL
19Genoa014-71LDLLL
20Venezia005-90LLLLL
Team Sheet
Bologna3-4-2-1 · 👔 Raffaele Palladino
25Pessina
14Heggem
16Casale
36Darmian
33Miranda
4Pobega
19Ferguson
20Zortea
28Cambiaghi
7Orsolini
91Piccoli
30Falcone
25Gallo
44Gabriel
5Siebert
17Veiga
14Maleh
20Ilić
29Coulibaly
7Fatah
22Esteban
50Pierotti
Lecce4-3-3 · 👔 E. Di Francesco
Match Events
⚽Riccardo Orsoliniassist Nicolo Cambiaghi
17'
Amar Fatahassist Danilo Veiga⚽
64'
⚽Jay Enemassist Nicolo Cambiaghi
75'
How the Match Went
LecceLecce
BolognaBologna
57%
Possession
43%
19
Shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
10
Corners
3
17
Fouls
8
3
Yellow cards
2
1
Offsides
4