FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: Neither of these teams scores much, and that is the case in a nutshell. St. Pauli have put exactly one goal on the board in each of their three home league games this season. They score under a goal a game at home, and they have won only 1 of their last 13 games, tying 5 of them. Karlsruhe are not any better going forward. They average a goal a game across their six away games, and three of those six ended level. They sit 17th in the relegation places on five points from six, with a goal difference of minus 6. Both teams have absences too. St. Pauli are without Tomoya Ando, who is suspended, and Marcus Mathisen with a heel problem, and Karlsruhe are missing Moritz Broschinski. St. Pauli's season has been built on 1-1s and 1-0s rather than open football. A 1-0 home win, decided by a set piece or one mistake, is the honest read here, and a game like that is nowhere near busy. The risk sits with Karlsruhe. 11 of their last 14 games have had 3 or more goals, so they can drag a game into a mess. A 2-2 would spoil this for us. Both attacks have been too blunt lately for that, and the low scoring game is the side we want.