Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: This game has a long history of being shut down, and that is the main reason we are on the low side. The last 11 meetings between these two averaged under 2 goals a game, and barely a third of them had 3 or more goals. Cadiz keep it that way at their own ground. They have let in under a goal a game across seven home games. They score just over a goal there, so their games stay quiet. Sporting Gijon arrive with their attack picked apart. Juan Otero, Konrad de la Fuente and Antonio Casas are all missing up front, along with Nacho Martín and Iosifov. Ferrari and Guillamón are doubtful. That is a lot of goals to replace. Gijon sit 8th on 13 points and have won four of seven away games, so they are happy to keep a game slow. A goal each is the most likely ending, and a 1-1 is exactly what this pick wants. The honest worry is that Cadiz are not as solid as their home record looks. They are 19th and in the relegation places on 7 points. Gijon also score almost 2 goals a game on the road, better than they manage at home. One early goal would change the whole shape. We still want the quiet game.