Benfica vs Vitória SC — Tips & Analysis

Benfica -1.75: Vitória SC have been the weakest side in the league on the road, and that is the heart of this pick. They have lost each of their last five away games, and they let in more than 2 goals a game on those trips. They barely score anywhere, under a goal a game across the whole season. Benfica are the opposite. They score almost 3 goals a game and have won 11 of their last 17. They have won by 2 or more goals in 10 of those games. The gap between these two has been one sided. Benfica have won the last three meetings 3-0, and they have not lost to Vitória SC in 20 games, winning 14 of them. Both teams have had 21 days off, so Benfica should start fresh and on the front foot. A controlled 2-0 is the honest read, with Benfica ahead before the break and a second goal as Vitória SC chase late. What this pick wants is a clear win, not a tight 2-1. That is the worry. Benfica's two home league games this season finished 3-1 and 2-1, so they have let in a goal in both. Their biggest wins all came away from the Luz. They are also without five senior players, and Lenglet is banned after his red card. We still want Benfica to win this comfortably.