Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: Union cannot keep a game quiet, and that is the heart of this one. Every single one of their last ten games has had 3 or more goals in it. They sit 17th with one point from four games and a minus 13 goal difference, the worst defending in the division. They let in almost 3 goals a game. Three of their first choice defenders are out, with Juranovic, Markgraf and Nsoki all unavailable and Burke a doubt. Elversberg are the wrong visitors to get for that. They sit eighth, score more than 2 goals a game and have won three of their last five. They travel well too, with 2 goals a game on the road, and they took four off Gladbach away and beat Leverkusen 3-2. Union will have to come out and chase this at the Alte Foersterei, and that is how the game opens up. A 1-3 is the likely score, and four goals lands on the right side of what we want. Two honest warnings go with that. Union have had 22 days to work on that back line, and Elversberg have not won away since early September. Elversberg also showed at Schalke, in a 0-0, that they can play a flat away game when it suits them. We still want the busier game here.