SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.75: Paderborn have stopped scoring, and that is the main reason we want a quieter game at the Home Deluxe Arena. They have three goals in four Bundesliga games and have been making very few chances in that run. Their season scoring looks healthier than that. It leans on a 4-2 cup win at fourth tier Phoenix Luebeck and on second tier games from earlier in the year. Stuttgart are the better side here and score 2 goals a game. They still arrive 15th and have won once in their last six away trips. That is a team edging results rather than running teams over. The history fits the same picture, because the last three meetings averaged 2 goals in total. Expect Stuttgart to carry most of the threat and win by a goal. This should be a scrappy game where two patched up defences matter more than either passing game. A 1-2 is the likely score, and three goals sits inside what we want. The worry here is real and worth saying plainly. Stuttgart hand Dennis Seimen his first Bundesliga game in goal, and their own centre backs Al-Dakhil and Zagadou are both out. Paderborn are missing their two first choice centre backs as well. 10 of Stuttgart's last 12 games have had 3 or more goals, so this can get away from us. We still lean to the lower scoring game.