Monaco vs Toulouse — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Goals follow these two around, and that is the simple reason we want the busier game. Monaco's games have had more than 3 goals in total on average, and 9 of their last 13 had 3 or more. Toulouse are the same story from the other end. Their games average more than 3 goals too, and 11 of their last 16 had 3 or more. Monaco top Ligue 1 and have won 4 of their last 5, including 2-1 away at Paris Saint Germain. They score 2 goals a game. What they do not do is shut games down, letting in more than a goal a game. Toulouse are 14th and let in more than 2 goals a game on the road. They still create chances, and they have already tied 2-2 at Lorient and 2-2 at Brest this season. The history matches up. The last 19 meetings between these clubs averaged just over 3 goals. Toulouse are missing centre back Nicolaisen, and Monaco are without the suspended Brunner, so neither defense is at full strength. A 2-1 home win is the likely read, and both of these sides keep ending up in games with three or more goals in them. The risk is Monaco. They have been scoring more than their chances really deserve lately, and they are good enough to win this quietly if that cools off. We still expect enough goals here.