Maritimo vs FC Porto — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Porto do their winning quietly, and that is the heart of this one. They have won 13 of their last 17 games, yet only 7 of those 17 had 3 or more goals. They let in under a goal a game and score almost 2, so they tend to take the lead and then manage the rest. Maritimo will help keep it that way. The promoted side have won 5, tied 3 and lost 6 of their last 14. They have not won in five and they score just over a goal a game. They were beaten 0-3 at home by Benfica last month, so they know what happens if they open up. Expect them to sit deep and stay compact for long spells. The history fits too. Maritimo have won only 3 of the last 20 meetings with Porto, and those games have been low on goals. Both sides also come back from a three week break, with 21 and 20 days since their last game. Nobody knows how either side will look after a break that long. A 0-2 away win looks like the right shape, with Porto adding a second once Maritimo have to come out. The warning is Porto's travelling form. They won 4-1 at Casa Pia and 3-0 at Academico Viseu this season, so they can turn a quiet night busy. We still want the low scoring game.