Lille vs Le Havre — Tips & Analysis

Le Havre +1.5: Le Havre are the hardest side in this league to beat by a lot, and that is the whole case here. They have not lost by 2 or more goals in any of their last 12 games. Seven of those 12 finished in ties, and all four defeats came by a single goal. Lille have not been the team to break that pattern. They are 2W-3D-2L at home and score just over a goal a game there, which is their weaker half. On the road they are 6W-0D-1L. They have also won by 2 or more in only 4 of their last 14 games. Le Havre sit 18th on two points, so nobody is calling them good. They are well drilled though, and only 3 of their last 12 games had 3 or more goals in them. Expect a tight, slow evening with Lille camped in the Le Havre half and very little space to play in. A 1-0 to Lille is the likely score, and a one goal game is exactly what we want. The honest worry is Le Havre's team news, which is bad. Mambimbi, Mpasi-Nzau, Pembele, Toure and Zagadou are all out, with Jelert a doubt, so that is five of the squad gone and a sixth in question. Lille have also won two of these meetings 3-0. We still think Le Havre keep this close.