Inter vs Parma — Tips & Analysis

Parma +2.5: Parma do not get beaten heavily, and that is the base of this pick. They have not lost by more than two goals in their last 15 games, and only 3 of those 15 were lost by 2 or more at all. Inter are a different class at San Siro. They are 6W-1D-0L at home at 3 goals a game and have won 9 of their last 14 overall. Big wins are rarer than that sounds, because they have won by three goals in just 3 of their last 14. Parma arrive 15th with three goals in their last six away games. They will not try to trade punches here. They will sit in, keep the game narrow and take whatever comes their way. Inter have good reason to manage this one too. Calhanoglu, Curtis Jones and Luis Henrique are all out of their midfield, and they travel to Club Brugge three days later. The last two meetings at San Siro both finished 2-0, which is the shape we expect again. A 2-0 to Inter is the likely score, and that stays inside what we need. The risk is that Inter can bury teams once they get going. They score more than 2 goals a game, and 10 of their last 14 games had 3 or more goals in them. Parma are short themselves, with Almqvist, Ndiaye and Nicolussi Caviglia out. We still think Parma stay within range.