FC Augsburg vs Bayern München — Tips & Analysis

FC Augsburg +2.75: Bayern save their big wins for Munich, and that is the case for backing Augsburg to stay close. Away from home Bayern have won 2-1, 2-1 and 1-0 and tied 0-0 at Schalke. They score more than 2 goals a game on the road, against more than 4 a game at the Allianz. Augsburg are in good form and they can hurt teams. They sit 5th on 7 points from four games, and they score more than 2 goals a game at the WWK Arena. They have lost by 2 or more goals in only 3 of their last 14 games, so they are rarely taken apart. Bayern are still the better side by a long way. They have won 11, tied 3 and lost 1 of their last 15, and they win by just over 2 goals on average. They have been making plenty of chances over their last three games and giving up almost nothing. Jamal Musiala is out for them, and Augsburg are without forward Steve Mounie. A 1-3 to Bayern is the likely read. Augsburg get on the scoresheet and Bayern win by a couple rather than burying them, which is just what we want. The worry is plain. Bayern have hammered sides 7-0 and 5-1 in Munich this season, and one of those nights here beats us. Augsburg have also been giving up plenty of chances over their last four games. We still think Augsburg keep this close enough.