Barcelona vs Getafe — Tips & Analysis

Barcelona -2.5: Barcelona are flattening teams at home, and that is the reason this pick is on. They are 6W-0D-0L at the Camp Nou and score 4 goals a game there. They have won their last five games and won by 2 or more in 11 of their last 14. Getafe are the wrong visitors for that. They have scored one goal in their last six away games and have no win in them. They also lose both of their main forwards, with Christantus Uche and Juanmi out with knee injuries and Abqar a doubt. That leaves them nothing to hold the ball with when the pressure comes. Expect Getafe to go low and narrow and try to make this an ugly night. They can hold that shape for a spell. Barcelona have the bodies to keep going though, and these nights usually break open after the hour once legs go. A 3-0 is the likely score, and that clears what we need. The honest worry is Barcelona's habit of stopping at two. Exactly two goals is their most common winning margin, in 6 of their last 14, and they have won by three or more in only 5 of 14. The 20 meetings between these two average just over 2 goals in total, and Raphinha, Frenkie de Jong, Christensen and Bardghji are all out. We still back Barcelona to win this well.