Arsenal vs Leeds — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: At the Emirates Arsenal win games without turning them into shootouts, and that is the base of this one. They have won 7 of their 8 home games, scoring 2 goals a game there and letting in under a goal a game. Their games overall have had just over 2 goals in total on average, and more than half have ended with 2 goals or fewer. Leeds are built to keep things tight as well. They have tied three of their last five league games, including a 0-0 at home to Crystal Palace. On the road they grind rather than go chasing goals, and they let in more than a goal a game. Arsenal come back from a three week break stung by a 3-0 loss at Brighton. Expect them to control the ball, break through before the hour and add a second as Leeds tire. A 2-0 to Arsenal is the likely read, and two goals sits comfortably inside what we want. Two things to watch. Saliba is out and Konsa is a doubt, so the Arsenal back line is thinner than usual. Leeds also bring busier games with them, averaging 3 goals in total, and Arsenal won the last two meetings 4-0 and 5-0. A night like those blows this apart. We still think this one stays low scoring.