Academico Viseu vs Estoril — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Estoril cannot score, and that is the simple reason we want a quiet game. They get under a goal a game, and only 6 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals in them. They are bottom of the league on 2 points from 7 games. Their last five read LLDLL, and they have won just 1 of their last 16. Viseu are built the same way, only better at it. The hosts let in under a goal a game and score just over a goal a game. Their own games have had just over 2 goals in total on average, and only 9 of their last 18 produced 3 or more. They have won their last three, so they can take their time here. Estoril's team news makes it worse. Begraoui got hurt over the break, centre back Ferro is suspended, and Xeka and Andreou are doubts. A 1-0 home win is the likely read, and one goal is well inside what we want. Two things give us pause. The last six meetings between these clubs averaged more than 3 goals in total. Those are old games, though, from a time when the clubs were in different divisions. Viseu have also been letting in fewer goals than the chances against them deserve. We still want the low scoring game.