1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg — Tips & Analysis

1. FC Nürnberg +0: Nürnberg have turned the Max-Morlock-Stadion into a fortress, and that is the case for backing them. They have won 5 of their 6 home games and let in under a goal a game there. Across all games they have lost just 1 of their last 14, with a 7 win, 6 tie, 1 loss record. They score almost 2 goals a game, so they carry a real threat as well as a solid defense. Wolfsburg are a different side away from home. Their road record of 4 wins, 2 ties and 2 losses is the better half of their season, and they score 2 goals a game on it. They also let in more than a goal a game, which is where Nürnberg's home scoring should bite. Both teams play in busy games. Nürnberg's games and Wolfsburg's games both average 3 goals in total, so chances should come at both ends. A 2-1 home win looks like the likely shape, with Wolfsburg scoring but Nürnberg's home record deciding it. Two things could spoil it. Wolfsburg have won 6 of the last 11 meetings between these clubs, so the history is on their side. Nürnberg have also been scoring a bit more than their chances deserve over the last few games. We still think the home side have enough to take this one.