St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Sint Maarten — Tips & Analysis

St. Vincent / Grenadines -1: St Vincent are simply the better team, and they proved it three days ago by beating Sint Maarten 4-2 at this very ground. The whole group is being played centrally in Belmopan, so neither side is at home and this comes down to quality alone. St Vincent have that. They have won 8 of their last 13 games, won all three of their group matches, and score just over 2 goals a game. Sint Maarten have little to stop them with. They let in more than 2 goals a game across their last 20, in which they won 7, tied 2 and lost 11. They have also lost their last three. This is also a third game in eight days for both squads, and tired legs tend to hurt the weaker side more. A 3-1 St Vincent win is the likeliest outcome, and a 2 goal win like that is enough for this pick. The caution is genuine. St Vincent have won by 2 or more goals in only 4 of their last 13 games. Their other two group wins were a 1-0 over Belize and a 2-1 over French Guyana. Sint Maarten's away games are the better half of their season. They let in almost 2 goals a game in them, so they are tougher than their overall record looks. We still back St Vincent to have too much.