Scotland vs Slovenia — Tips & Analysis

Scotland -0.5: Slovenia hardly ever score, and that is why Scotland are our pick of the game. Slovenia have won just 3 of their last 14 games and score under a goal a game, and they are even quieter on the road. In away games they have won once in their last seven. They have also won by 2 or more goals in only 1 of their last 14. They do not travel to win games, they travel to stop them. Scotland have won 7 of their last 14 and have been making far more chances than Slovenia over their recent games. Second place in the group is on the line and both teams sit level on four points, so Scotland have to force this at Hampden. Slovenia are also without Benjamin Sesko, their first choice striker, which leaves Sporar or Vipotnik up front and even less bite than usual. A 1-0 Scotland win is the likeliest outcome, and one goal is all this pick needs. The worry is obvious. Slovenia have tied 7 of their last 14 games and held Scotland to a 0-0 in Ljubljana ten days ago. A blank, frustrating night is very much live. Scotland also lost 0-3 at home to Switzerland a week ago, which shows they can have a flat evening. We still think Scotland find a way through.