Moldova vs Slovakia — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Neither of these teams scores enough to make this a busy game. Slovakia are much the better side, but they are a slow, careful team on their travels, scoring under a goal a game in seven away games. Only 5 of Slovakia's last 15 games have had 3 or more goals, and they tied 1-1 in the Faroe Islands four days ago. Moldova are worse again in front of goal. They have lost four of their last five home games and score under a goal a game there. They will sit deep at Zimbru and hope to stay in it. Their big goals average comes almost entirely from a 1-11 beating in Norway. Take that out and their recent games read 0-2, 1-1 and 2-1. These two met ten days ago in Bratislava and Slovakia won 2-0. Slovakia are also without Laszlo Benes and Matus Bero, and Vladimir Weiss is expected to change his team. A 1-0 win for Slovakia is the likeliest shape here, and a game like that lands this pick with room to spare. The real danger is Moldova's defending. They let in 3 goals a game at home, so one early goal could turn this into a chase. Moldova sit second and want to protect that spot, and a Moldova side pushing forward is how this gets busy. We still back the quiet game.