Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands — Tips & Analysis

Faroe Islands +0.25: The Faroe Islands do not lose games by much, and they have just proved it against Kazakhstan. These two met in Torshavn on 26 September and finished 1-1. In the last 2 meetings Kazakhstan have not beaten them at all, with one tie and one Faroes win. Those two games averaged more than a goal in total, so there is very little between these teams. The Faroes have tied all three of their Nations League games 1-1. They are hard to score against, letting in under a goal a game, and they have lost by 2 or more goals only once in their last 15. Kazakhstan are the side under pressure. They sit bottom of the group with one point from three games and badly need a home win. Astana has been their one strong point, where they have let in under a goal a game across seven home games. They only score just over a goal a game, so they are not about to run away with this. Here is the honest part. A 1-0 Kazakhstan win is the likeliest single score, and that beats this pick. We need the Faroes to leave Astana without losing. Their away scoring is the worry, under a goal a game across nine trips, so a narrow home win is very much live. But a team tying 1-1 over and over is the one you want in a game this tight, and we are with the Faroes.