Northern Ireland vs Georgia — Tips & Analysis

Over 1.75: Northern Ireland do their scoring at Windsor Park. They have averaged almost 2 goals a game across their last six home games. They have also won by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 13. Georgia give up plenty on the road. They let in almost 2 goals a game away from home, and they have won once in their last six away trips. Their games are rarely quiet either. Georgia have had 3 or more goals in 8 of their last 14 games. The other side of this is real. Northern Ireland have let in one goal in total across their last six home games, and Georgia have not scored in their last three. That is why the single most likely score is a 1-0 Northern Ireland win, and a 1-0 is not enough for this pick. We need one more goal, and we think it comes. Dan Ballard is out with a hamstring injury and two more defenders are doubtful, so this back line is weaker than the one that shut Georgia out. The only meeting between these two was a 1-0 won by a 99th minute Shea Charles goal, so nothing says this has to stay that tight. Be clear on the danger. Northern Ireland have had fewer than 3 goals in 8 of their last 13 games, and fewer than 2 in five of them. This is a close call, but we lean to a second goal arriving.